The 37% haircut on Eurobond ‘not saved’ but a debt forgiveness
It is crucial for Ghana not to view this relief 37% reduction in the principal of Ghana’s $13.1 billion Eurobond as a “savings” but as an opportunity to strategically plan for future debt payments, perhaps through establishing escrow accounts or sinking funds.
The “not saved” implies that the reduction in the debt amount should not be viewed as money that Ghana (the debtor) has set aside or accumulated through savings. Rather, it is a portion of the debt that no longer must be repaid. It is not additional cash on hand but a reduction in future liabilities.
Properly managed, debt restructuring could stabilise the cedi by lowering debt servicing costs, boosting investor confidence, enhancing government budget management, increasing economic stability, reducing speculative attacks, and potentially improving credit ratings.
These actions, collectively, can contribute significantly to the stabilization of Ghana’s economy and currency.
The 37% reduction in the principal of Ghana’s $13.1 billion Eurobond, equivalent to $4.7 billion, is distinct from the relief Ghana received under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative between 2001 and 2007. Unlike the HIPC program, where the IMF directed investments in education, healthcare, and governance rather than immediate debt repayment, the current debt restructuring with the Eurobond creditors simply grants a reduction.
Although aimed at mitigating similar economic issues like high inflation, dwindling foreign reserves, and rapid currency depreciation the debt restructuring is fundamentally different from HIPC in that it lacks specific directives for using the debt relieves funds for developmental purposes.
This measure of debt restructuring, primarily focused on debt forgiveness will alleviate balance of payment pressures by reducing loan repayment obligations.
While the Ghanaian government refrained from labeling the reductions in the domestic debt exchange as “savings,” the same perspective should be applied to the external debt restructuring. This cautious approach acknowledges that these reductions are not surplus funds accumulated through economizing measures but are, instead, forms of debt relief.
By not classifying these as savings, the government emphasizes that these adjustments serve primarily to alleviate financial obligations rather than to provide additional fiscal space. This distinction is crucial for accurate financial planning and for setting realistic expectations about the country’s economic recovery and budgetary capabilities.
It underscores the intention to manage public perception and policy formulation accurately, recognizing these fiscal strategies as necessary interventions to stabilize the economy rather than as windfalls.
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The writer is an Associate Professor of Finance at the Andrews University and can be reached via email at peprah@andrews.edu