Oil Jumps as Middle East Tensions Ignite Supply Fears

Crude prices are seeing a sharp rise today, with WTI trading at $68.52 per barrel, up 1.26%, and Brent crude at $72.27 per barrel, up 0.94%.

These gains are driven primarily by escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. This volatility is prompting fears of further disruptions to oil supply and maritime routes.

Israel recently launched an airstrike targeting Hezbollah’s central headquarters in Beirut, marking the heaviest attack in almost a year of ongoing conflict. Although the fate of targeted Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is unconfirmed, the strikes have heightened geopolitical concerns. With Hezbollah retaliating through rocket fire and maritime security warnings issued for vessels in Israeli ports, the conflict poses a direct risk to regional shipping lanes. The Houthis in Yemen have also increased attacks on U.S. vessels and Israeli targets, further destabilizing the area.

The growing uncertainty in the region, coupled with fears of more direct strikes on ports like Haifa and Eilat, has led to heightened risk assessments for shipping and oil transport. Insurance premiums are expected to rise as the potential for collateral damage to Israeli and neighboring maritime infrastructure looms. Investors are responding by pushing up oil prices, anticipating supply disruptions and increased demand for secure oil reserves amid the instability. The situation remains fluid, and continued price increases are likely if the conflict escalates further.

Brent crude has been trading down since last week, with Sunday’s price at $74.47 per barrel. Brent is also down even more sharply compared to a month ago, when prices were closer to $78 per barrel.